Antalya Property After the Tourist Season: What to Watch in the September 2026 Data

We bring tourism, airport, housing-sales, price-index, interest-rate and rent data into one frame; which indicators matter for the post-season period?

As the summer season closes, everyone looking at the Antalya property market asks the same question: what can we expect once the season is over? There is no definite answer, but we do have official and institution-based data published up to September 2026. This article brings together tourism, airport, housing-sales, price-index, interest-rate and rent data in a single frame, and then explains which indicators are worth watching and what the data does and does not say. The comments in the second half are ours; they are neither a forecast nor investment advice.

Tourism: the season is slightly behind last year

According to reports based on Antalya Provincial Directorate of Culture and Tourism data (DHA, 3 September 2026), 11 million 23 thousand 586 foreign visitors came to Antalya in January–August 2026. That is 5.8 per cent lower than the roughly 11 million 702 thousand in the same period last year. In August alone, 2 million 664 thousand 364 arrived, a 1.7 per cent fall year on year.

By market, Russia was first with about 2 million 667 thousand visitors (up 0.1 per cent) and Germany second with about 2 million 83 thousand (down 5.5 per cent). For more commentary, see our article on tourist numbers and housing demand.

The airport: traffic remains heavy

According to reports based on State Airports Authority (DHMİ) data, Antalya Airport served 5 million 893 thousand 602 passengers in August 2026, of whom 756,612 were domestic and 5,136,990 international (Milliyet Uzmanpara, 11 September 2026). In January–August, passengers at the airport reached 25 million 103 thousand 581; the total across Turkish airports in the same period reached 167 million 552 thousand 966, up 2.8 per cent on last year (DHA, 9 September 2026).

These reports do not give an annual percentage change for Antalya, so from these sources we cannot say whether the airport's traffic has changed direction against last year. For more detail, see our article on the airport and the regional economy.

Tahtalı Mountain seen from Kemer under a cloudy blue sky

Photo: Tatyana / CC BY 2.0 — Wikimedia Commons (a general mountain and coast view from the west of Antalya)

Housing sales: low numbers, high mortgage share

According to TurkStat's August bulletin released on 17 September 2026, across Türkiye:

  • 127,410 homes were sold in August 2026, a 14.7 per cent fall on the same month last year.
  • 950,529 homes were sold in January–August, a 6.8 per cent annual fall.
  • Mortgaged sales were 22,131, up 7.2 per cent year on year and 17.4 per cent of the total.
  • First-hand sales were 44,378 (down 4.5 per cent) and second-hand sales 83,032 (down 19.4 per cent).
  • 1,938 homes were sold to foreigners, up 0.1 per cent and 1.5 per cent of the total. In January–August, sales to foreigners fell 6.3 per cent to 13,141. In August, Russia, Ukraine and Iran were the top three.

For sales figures specific to Antalya, one should look at TurkStat's provincial table; here we limit ourselves to the national figures we could verify. For foreign buyers and Antalya's share, see our article on August 2026 sales to foreigners; for the July picture, in which the mortgaged share rose, see our TurkStat July 2026 article.

Prices and interest rates: mind the real picture

According to the CBRT House Price Index (press report, 16 September 2026), the index rose 0.9 per cent month on month and 23 per cent year on year in August 2026, which corresponds to a 6.5 per cent fall in real terms once inflation is removed. On rates, the CBRT held the policy rate at 37 per cent on 10 September 2026, and its meeting summary said housing loan rates rose 55 basis points to 41.9 per cent.

On rents, TurkStat's data of 5 October 2026 put the ceiling for residential rents renewed in October at 31.49 per cent.

What can be drawn from this data? (interpretation)

The following is our reading, not an official forecast:

  • Demand is cautious. Total sales fell year on year while mortgaged sales rose. That suggests fewer transactions but a higher share of buyers using credit.
  • Foreign demand is flat. The annual change in August was almost zero, while January–August is below last year. The small fall in tourist numbers points the same way, but the link between the two is not necessarily cause and effect.
  • Real price pressure. Even where nominal prices rise, they are falling in real terms against inflation. That may widen the gap between buyers' and sellers' price expectations, and room for negotiation usually depends on how that gap closes.
  • Financing is costly. With housing loan rates around 41.9 per cent, the monthly instalment calculation becomes decisive.

To guess what the market will do after the season, the direction of change in these indicators will matter. But one month of data, or one season, is not enough to set a trend.

Which indicators to follow

  • TurkStat housing sales statistics: monthly, with province and nationality breakdowns.
  • CBRT House Price Index: monthly nominal and real change.
  • CBRT rate decisions and meeting summaries: for the direction of mortgage costs.
  • Antalya Provincial Directorate of Culture and Tourism and DHMİ data: tourist and passenger numbers for September and October.
  • TurkStat CPI data: for the rent ceiling.

Practical notes for buyers and sellers

When the season ends, it may be possible to compare documents and prices without hurry. We explain what you can buy by budget in our article on what each budget buys; for price negotiation see our negotiation guide, and for the choice between new and resale see our new versus resale comparison. Our buying a home in Antalya page covers the process, and if you would like to look at developer payment plans instead of a loan, see our instalment homes page.

Conclusion

The data published up to September 2026 show a slight fall in tourism in Antalya, heavy airport traffic, a decline in national home sales, a rise in mortgaged sales and a fall in real prices. For the post-season period this picture gives no firm direction; data released in the coming months will draw a clearer frame. You are welcome to write to us with any questions.

Related reading: the CBRT rate decision and mortgages, the October 2026 rent increase ceiling, the DASK change at the land registry and Antalya's transport investments.

This content is for general information only and is not legal or financial advice. Please consult a specialist before making your decision.

Sources: DHA report based on Antalya Provincial Directorate of Culture and Tourism data (3 September 2026); reports based on DHMİ data (DHA, 9 September 2026; Milliyet Uzmanpara, 11 September 2026); TurkStat August 2026 housing sales statistics (17 September 2026, via CNBC-e and Karar); CBRT House Price Index (16 September 2026); CBRT press release 2026-38 and meeting summary 2026-42; TurkStat CPI (5 October 2026).

Cover photo: Flickr user vshioshvili / CC BY-SA 2.0 — Wikimedia Commons (Kaş harbour at night; a general image from Antalya province).

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